Gold futures languished just under $1,600 an ounce Wednesday as the
debt drama in Cyprus and strong central bank buying has not proven
potent enough to overcome waning market sentiment.
Gold for April
delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange was
last up $2.00 at $1,593.80 an ounce. Trade has ranged from $,591.90 to
$1,601.60.
“Gold is currently no longer able to profit from the
politically-driven financial markets and the resulting uncertainty among
market players,” Commerzbank AG said in a note. “Under pressure from a
firmer US dollar, the yellow precious metal has slipped below the $1,600
mark again this morning."
Banks in Cyprus are set to reopen
tomorrow and some still fear a liquidity flight after high deposit
accounts were raided and the country's second largest bank was ordered
to close to secure an EU, IMF, ECB troika rescue.
“If you're a
gold bull you have to have an uncomfortable feeling this morning. We're
just a day away from a historic run on the banks in a major European
financial hub, yet gold can't be bothered to pop above $1,600,” a
US-based gold trader said.
“It wasn't too long ago that these
types of eurozone headlines would be followed by a $100 rally and record
highs,” the trader added.
Additionally, favourable economic data
from the US continues to pressure gold, which in turn suggests that the
metal remains a safe haven instrument that isn't readily benefiting from
safe haven developments, the CME Group said in a market commentary.
“Concerns
toward the Italian financial and political situation might also be
providing some minor support for gold prices but until there are major
developments from Cyprus or Italy, the bear camp might be set to
prevail,” CME added.
In the wider-markets, the euro was about a
cent softer at 1.2772 against the dollar, while Germany's DAX and
France's CAC-40 were last down 1.23 percent and 1.68 percent,
respectively.
“The dollar is firm and the euro is weak as Cyprus
will not recede from the front of the forex stage and remains the
glaring klieg lights despite assurances to the contrary by the political
leaders there that Cyprus is a one off event, a unique circumstance, an
aberration that should be dismissed out of hand,” Dennis Gartman,
editor of the Gartman Letter, said.
“[But] everyone knows the
scene is horrific and everyone knows that [it's] only going to get
worse, not better,” he added.
However, in supportive data, central
banks have taken advantage of lower prices to add to their gold
reserves. In February, the Russian central bank increased its gold
holdings by 7 tonnes to 976.95 tonnes. Other buyers included Kazakhstan
(4.9 tons), Mongolia (1.5 tons), Azerbaijan (1 ton) and Ukraine (0.6
tons), according to the International Monetary Fund.
“The standout
buyers remain US dollar laden central banks. We believe portfolio
diversification of foreign exchange reserves is an important element in
this bank gold purchase strategy,” James Steel of HSBC said in a report.
“While
gold may remain on the defensive in the near-term, especially as
trading conditions may be thin going into the holiday weekend, we
continue to expect high levels of global liquidity to eventually buoy
gold prices,” Steel added.
In the other precious metals, Comex
silver for May delivery was down 34.4 cents at $28.335 an ounce. Trade
has ranged from $28.125 to $28.785.
“At least initially, silver
has outperformed the gold market on the downside in the early Wednesday
trade action. In fact, the May silver contract overnight fell down to
the lowest level since the early March spike down washout,” CME said.
Platinum
futures for April delivery were up $7.60 at $1,577.40 an ounce and the
June palladium contract was at $759.95 an ounce, down $1.45.
Rabu, 27 Maret 2013
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